GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MSV Duisburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SV Meppen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MSV Duisburg hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the 3. Liga, while MSV Duisburg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MSV Duisburg

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MSV DuisburgDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SV MeppenWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
36.0Attack0.0
43.0Defence0.0
29.8Form0.0
38.7Power7.0
1.44xG1.46
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