GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 3/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Mārupe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rēzekne FA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.9% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mārupe

Probability

81.9%

Model confidence

81.9%

Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MārupeLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rēzekne FALDLLW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MārupeRēzekne FA
54.2Attack27.1
47.9Defence4.2
45.8Form10.4
49.1Power18.5
3.38xG0.77
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