Mārupevs
Rīgas FS II
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 5/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Mārupe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rīgas FS II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 26.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.5% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mārupe
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00