GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 7/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Lowconfidence

Mārupe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Metta / LU are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 80.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the 1. Liga, while Metta / LU holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metta / LU

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

9.9%

Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MārupeLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Metta / LUWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MārupeMetta / LU
54.2Attack100.0
47.9Defence70.8
45.8Form85.4
49.1Power80.4
0.95xG2.78
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