Mārupevs
Leevon / PPK
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mārupe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Leevon / PPK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and leevon / PPK hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Liga, favouring a draw with 12.1% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.0%
Model confidence
12.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00