Mārupevs
JFK Ventspils
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 6/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mārupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mārupe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JFK Ventspils are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the 1. Liga, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mārupe
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Mārupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40