Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
MPS are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while EBK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and EBK hold a 46.6-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Suomen Cup, while EBK holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EBK
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
6.8%
EBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.75/1.75
GF 24 · GA 7 · avg 4.80/1.40