Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
MP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while MyPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MP holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60