Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20