Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while MP holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
20.5%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00