Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Haka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Haka hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while Haka holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00