Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while EIF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while MP holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80