GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Motor Lublin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Polonia Warszawa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Motor Lublin hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (65.6 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Motor Lublin holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motor Lublin

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Motor LublinWWLDW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Polonia WarszawaWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Motor LublinPolonia Warszawa
51.1Attack69.4
73.3Defence58.3
68.9Form55.6
65.6Power59.9
1.44xG1.12
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