Motor Lublinvs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 7/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Motor Lublin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Ekstraklasa, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20