GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 7/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Motor Lublin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Ekstraklasa, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Motor LublinDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JagielloniaWWWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Motor LublinJagiellonia
44.4Attack50.0
22.2Defence83.3
11.1Form100.0
29.5Power83.3
1.14xG1.74
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