GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/16/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Motor Lublin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while GKS Katowice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and GKS Katowice hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Ekstraklasa, while GKS Katowice holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GKS Katowice

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

11.9%

GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Motor LublinLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
GKS KatowiceLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
44.4Attack66.7
22.2Defence50.0
11.1Form50.0
29.5Power56.2
1.34xG1.75
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