GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/6/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sampaio Correa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Moto Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sampaio Correa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Serie D, while Sampaio Correa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sampaio Correa

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Sampaio Correa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moto ClubDWLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sampaio CorreaDLDDL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Moto ClubSampaio Correa
26.7Attack38.9
50.0Defence75.0
30.0Form44.4
37.9Power52.8
0.41xG1.11
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