Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maracanã · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Moto Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maracanã are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Maracanã hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie D, while Maracanã holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maracanã
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Maracanã has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60