Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moto Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Moto Club are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IAPE are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Moto Club hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Serie D, while Moto Club holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moto Club
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Moto Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00