GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motherwell · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Motherwell are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Falkirk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Premiership, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motherwell

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

13.8%

Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MotherwellDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FalkirkLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MotherwellFalkirk
33.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power31.3
1.45xG0.94
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