Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motala · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Motala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tord are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Motala hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Motala holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motala
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
12.6%
Motala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40