Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motala · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Motala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kumla are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Motala hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Motala holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motala
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Motala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60