Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mossley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Mossley are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Radcliffe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 69.6 against 70.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mossley holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mossley
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Mossley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20