Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mossley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Mossley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AFC Emley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mossley hold a 62.6-point power-rating edge (69.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mossley holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mossley
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Mossley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40