Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Moss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Strommen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moss hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Moss holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40