Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Moss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Raufoss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moss hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the 1. Division, while Moss holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80