Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Moss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moss hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the 1. Division, while Moss holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
7.3%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80