Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Moss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while hodd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80