Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Moss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Follo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moss hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Moss holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moss
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Moss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60