Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Moss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Arendal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
7.5%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80