GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mosconia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mosconia are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Avilés are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mosconia hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mosconia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mosconia

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

10.9%

Mosconia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MosconiaWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Real AvilésDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
MosconiaReal Avilés
66.7Attack44.4
66.7Defence55.6
50.0Form33.3
59.3Power44.0
1.95xG1.34
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