Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Morton are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Stranraer are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Morton hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Morton holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morton
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Morton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40