Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mornar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Sutjeska are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (21.4 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00