GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mornar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mornar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atlètic Club d'Escaldes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Mornar holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mornar

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Mornar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MornarLDWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlètic Club d'EscaldesWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MornarAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power42.4
1.55xG1.32
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