Mornarvs
Arsenal Tivat
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mornar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mornar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal Tivat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mornar hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the First League, while Mornar holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mornar
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Mornar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40