GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while WDSC Wolves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorWDLWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WDSC WolvesLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorWDSC Wolves
77.3Attack54.5
47.0Defence39.4
59.1Form50.0
59.9Power48.9
3.17xG1.57
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