GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/18/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Moreton City Excelsior are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Peninsula Power are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreton City ExcelsiorWLWDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Peninsula PowerLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula Power
77.3Attack74.2
47.0Defence59.1
59.1Form68.2
59.9Power67.5
2.03xG2.26
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