Moreton City Excelsiorvs
Olympic
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20