Moreton City ExcelsiorvsMagic United

Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Magic United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.