Moreton City ExcelsiorvsLions

Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 76.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.