Moreton City Excelsiorvs
Gold Coast Knights
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 2/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.9 against 58.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20