GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 7/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Springvale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Moreland City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Springvale are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Springvale hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Springvale holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Springvale

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Springvale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreland CityLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SpringvaleWDDLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Moreland CitySpringvale
42.0Attack40.3
15.9Defence38.9
18.8Form40.3
29.1Power41.6
1.61xG1.96
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