GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Moreland City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Kingston City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingston City hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (28.3 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Victoria Premier League 2, favouring a draw with 8.9% confidence, a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.3%

Model confidence

8.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moreland CityLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kingston CityLLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Moreland CityKingston City
40.9Attack40.6
15.2Defence26.1
18.2Form33.3
28.3Power35.4
1.92xG1.94
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