Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Morecambe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Barrow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Morecambe hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Morecambe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morecambe
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00