Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Fylde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Morecambe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while AFC Fylde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Fylde hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AFC Fylde holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Fylde
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
AFC Fylde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80