GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Moravia Morawica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chełmianka Chełm are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Chełmianka Chełm holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chełmianka Chełm

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

13.3%

Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Moravia MorawicaWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chełmianka ChełmWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Moravia MorawicaChełmianka Chełm
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
51.0Power86.5
1.27xG1.48
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