Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Padova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Monza holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monza
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00