GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Monza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aris Thessalonikis are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monza hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Monza holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monza

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MonzaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aris ThessalonikisWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
53.3Attack26.7
53.3Defence66.7
46.7Form33.3
52.1Power45.2
1.56xG1.13
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