Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Montrose are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Spartans are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Montrose hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the League Cup, while Montrose holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40