GGOALVIO

Canada · Northern Super League · 7/4/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montreal Roses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Montreal Roses W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver Rise W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Montreal Roses W hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Northern Super League, while Montreal Roses W holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Montreal Roses W

Probability

76.5%

Model confidence

9.2%

Montreal Roses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Montreal Roses WLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver Rise WLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Montreal Roses WVancouver Rise W
61.9Attack55.6
59.5Defence17.8
57.1Form35.6
59.8Power38.3
3.45xG1.17
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