GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Montpellier · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Montpellier are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Le Puy Foot are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Montpellier hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Montpellier holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Montpellier

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MontpellierWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Le Puy FootDDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MontpellierLe Puy Foot
50.0Attack0.0
22.2Defence33.3
22.2Form0.0
34.8Power15.3
1.95xG1.83
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